With a month to go before the November election, Donald Trump has returned to the Covid-19 message he, his administration, and his allies pushed in the early spring. “Don’t let it dominate you,” Trump said in a video released Monday evening, shortly after he left Walter Reed Medical Center, where he had been treated for several days for Covid-19. “Don’t be afraid. You’re gonna beat it!” Channeling Evita, he waved, maskless, from a White House balcony, posturing that he had beaten the virus despite the fact that he was both very contagious and apparently very symptomatic.
The
following day, he suggested that Covid-19 was no
different from the flu, tweeting: “Flu
season is coming up! Many people every year, sometimes
over 100,000, and despite the Vaccine, die from the Flu.
Are we going to close down our Country? No, we have
learned to live with it, just like we are learning to
live with Covid, in most populations far less lethal!!!”
The
difference between this message and the one he pushed in
February—that Covid-19 was overhyped, a “hoax” being
built up to damage the economy—is not so much substance
as context. What we have experienced over the last seven
months is not comparable in any way to flu season. Over
200,000 Americans have died. The economy has tanked,
shedding tens of millions of jobs. The White House
itself is the center of a massive Covid-19 outbreak that
has infected the president, the first lady, several
senators, and many other administration and Republican
Party officials. Far from a beacon of resilience, the
president has become a symbol of just how deeply the
country has been affected by the pandemic. In public
appearances since contracting the virus, he appears
hoarse, shaky, and frightened; reports of his
hospitalization include at least two concerning drops in
oxygen level and a cocktail of drugs that indicate
pneumonia.
For the last four years,
Trump’s supporters and detractors have retconned his 2016
victory, arguing that, having won an improbable election,
the president must be a political genius. In this school
of thought, Trump’s psychotic tweets and staggering
incompetence are rendered into perverse strengths:
We are playing checkers; he is playing
chess. This narrative deserved to die an agonizing
death years ago and should now be cast aside forever.
Trailing in the polls with only 30 days left before the
2020 election, the president has embraced a reelection
strategy that is, even for him, profoundly stupid.
When Trump was initially
diagnosed with Covid-19, there was some speculation that
this could actually be good for him.
The president’s haphazard pandemic response has received
abysmal marks: Here was an opportunity to change the
narrative. There could, some added, be a “rally
round the bedside” effect, similar to what happened
following U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s
hospitalization for Covid-19 in the spring. “This moment
is an opportunity for Trump to hit reset on his tone-deaf
message on COVID that we are always on the cusp of seeing
the definitive end of the virus,” wrote the
editors of The National Review. “His
lack of realism during the pandemic is one reason his
ratings on handling it are so low.” Get the message right,
this line of thinking goes, and Trump can save his
campaign.
This
argument assumed that Trump could adopt humility and use
his physical weakness as a political strength—that he
could even admit fault, recognizing his own failures and
the importance of frontline workers and first
responders. Voters didn’t think Trump was taking
Covid-19 seriously; here was an opportunity to show them
just how seriously he was taking the virus.
The
president has—characteristically—taken the opposite
path. Despite the fact that he is still obviously ill,
he and his allies are insisting that he is not just fine
but better than ever. Trump has said that he feels
better than he has in “20 years” and speculated that he
is “immune” to the
virus. The message is not just that an unhealthy,
out-of-his-depth president is an American ubermensch but
that, by not dying, he has shown the country the way to
beat the virus: change absolutely nothing and go about
business as usual with a casual disdain for basic safety
protocols.
The last week of Trump’s campaign has been a greatest hits of his worst political instincts. At last week’s debate, he failed to condemn the Proud Boys, a right-wing gang with ties to white nationalist groups. The moment echoed his “very fine people on both sides” comments in the wake of Charlottesville in 2017. On Tuesday, moreover, he announced that he was breaking off talks about a potential stimulus package until after the presidential election. The move tanked the stock market and further damaged his reelection chances. The author of The Art of the Deal was also making a basic and catastrophic negotiation error, accepting the blame for both the stock market collapse and the lack of stimulus.
All of this is occurring
in the midst of a polling
collapse. Trump is now trailing with every
age group of voters and is underwater
with senior
citizens—a voting block that helped him immensely in
2016. He is trailing by increasingly
large margins in every swing state and
appears to be pulling away in Florida and Pennsylvania. A
landslide defeat grows more likely by the hour; everything
the president has done to try to stem the tide has only
made things worse.
Some are understandably pointing to 2016 as a reason to continue to take Trump’s chances seriously. Anything can happen in the next 30 days—although, over the last nine days, the president saw the contents of his tax returns revealed by The New York Times, had the worst debate performance in American history, and contracted Covid-19. But Biden’s lead has been more stable than Clinton’s was four years ago. And he has another ace up his sleeve: Donald Trump can’t d

