Re: EU chief Says Ukraine Not Likely To Join EU, NATO For 20 to 25 Years
I think you are on the money: "all the parties have all known they were not going to war".
Hence I called it a 'Danse Macabre'. A complicated dance, but a dance nonetheless.
A very interesting interview (at least in my view) with a very canny old Social-Democrat fox (he is over 90 I believe so i think I can say that safely) - Klaus von Dohnanyi. (no not the conductor - but his brother I think - anyway a cabinet member of Willi Brandt's Ostpolitiker stance). It is in German but google translate handles it well enough, if you do not have a German relative in the house.
What I had completely missed - was what Dohnanyi points out: That actually the loss of the Donbass area to Russia - would be a relief to the fervently pro-fascistic East Ukraine leadership; and gain them a 'sympathy' into the bargain. I had focused on the division of Ukraine into two parts; or else - a 'Finlandisation' ["neutralisation"]; - but had not seen this alternative.