Re: Al Jazeera on a likely Trump victory in 2024


Andrew Stewart
 

I think that a serious component of this will be the midterm outcomes AS WELL AS the not so remote possibility that Biden opts to be a one term president and defers to Harris.

With the midterms, things will hinge upon whether the victorious Republicans ally with Trump or the institutional leadership, many of whom are still righteously pissed at Trump still over the January 6 raid on the Capitol. The winning faction will play a decisive role at the Convention.

With Biden potentially stepping aside, can you imagine a repeat of 1968? Admittedly the margins of possibility are far more constrained than they were 50+ years ago, the conventions are not decided by the old ward boss machines and the American Left is not as cohesive because of a variety of issues. But still, the parallels are eerily similar…

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