The Bolivian political analyst, Gabriel Villalba Pérez, affirmed this Friday that the resignation of the de facto president, Jeanine Áñez, to stand in the elections has several political undertones, including that of preventing the electoral triumph of the Movement for Socialism, MAS, during the upcoming presidential elections on October 18, Telesur reported.
In the Enclave Politica program, the analyst agreed with other points of view of political experts who affirm that Jeanine Áñez would have negotiated with former President Carlos Mesa an "eventual dark agreement" to the fact of withdrawing from the candidacy for elections, "leaving him the way free Luis Fernando Camacho and Mesa, to negotiate that he is not punished for crimes against humanity, "said the analyst.
Likewise, it referred to the fact that this eventual agreement would also include impunity for all the harmful economic damage caused to the State by the de facto Government.
"Now that Jeanine Añez's party is not in the electoral campaign, it is going to dedicate itself strictly to the management of coercive apparatus and all the institutions co-opted by her in favor of Camacho with state resources," Villalba said.
The analyst recalled that several crimes against humanity were committed during the de facto government, such as the attack on the Ombudsman's Office by paramilitary groups, and the Sacaba and Zenkata massacre, which have been denounced in international bodies such as the Inter-American Court of Rights. Humans, IACHR.
"What we are living in Bolivia is a state of no law and the discontent of the people at the abuses of a totalitarian government that makes an abusive use of the force of the Army and the Police," Villalba Pérez said.
Given the possibility that these events go unpunished, the analyst commented that the entire Bolivian institutionality has been co-opted by the de facto regime, from the Judicial, Electoral, to the Executive, leaving only the Legislative with some freedom, so that the The only alternative is that these facts are judged from international bodies.
Electoral forecasts Regarding what could happen in Bolivia in the face of the presidential elections, the analyst anticipated two possible scenarios. "The first that a mega-fraud is carried out in the elections scheduled for October 18," he said.
In this regard, he explained that the Supreme Electoral Tribunal has encouraged the participation of the so-called electoral technicians to advise the Voter Register in Bolivia and also have the electoral technical advice of the Organization of American States (OAS), whose last preliminary report caused the institutional crisis and military coup in the country.
"The fear of Bolivians is electoral fraud, we have hope in the international monitors and press other than the OAS. We need more international monitors," he said.
The other scenario to which the analyst referred is that a second round occurs. "The resignation of Jeanine Áñez has left a neoliberal snake with only two heads: for the eastern bloc you have Luis Fernando Camacho, and for the western bloc you have Carlos Mesa. popular bloc of the Movement to Socialism, MAS, "he commented.
He also mentioned that the MAS has been quite pragmatic in its electoral proposal, defending economic recovery, as opposed to the democratic coalitions or mega-coalitions that defend the neoliberal model of capital.
"Four weeks before the elections in Bolivia, they have received directives from the US embassy that the MAS does not win the elections in a first round despite the fact that the polls show it as the favorite," said Villalba Pérez.
When assessing in depth the proposal of the favorite binomial to win the elections, the political analyst said that "Luis Arce no longer reflects that concern for all that urban stronghold and that middle class stronghold that has been generated by the MAS itself." , he expressed.
In this sense, he argued that many Bolivians came out of poverty or extreme poverty, swelled the middle class and also migrated from the countryside to society and developed their lives, the product of an economically successful government for 14 years, headed by Evo Morales.
Regarding the former president, he said that his actions "are present in the grassroots, in the youth, in the peasant movement, in social organizations working for the return of hope," he valued.
For this reason, the fact that David Choquehuanca is in the binomial "is to embrace the hard vote of the MAS which is precisely rural, which belongs to the social movement, peasants," he said.
In addition, he highlighted that the Arce-Choquehuanca symbiosis reflects the mutation of the historical and political subject in Bolivia, that is, "the native indigenous and peasant who does not remain unchanged in time, has evolved, has mutated into an urban subject, with its logics community, with a kind of social advancement that they have generated with their own economy, "he concluded.
(With information from Telesur)