The Chips Act


George Korper
 

If you wonder 'Why" the supply chain in semiconductor chips is a continuing problem look no further than the US Congress. Failure to implement 'The Chips Act' will slow or cripple US chip manufacturing for a decade! 

What's that Pogo said? 


kf7rcm@yahoo.com
 

There are three huge "chip" plants being built in the Phoenix area. Hopefully they will be online before too long.


Dave Edwards
 

Do you know what companies they are?

I once went from one to the next when I worked for Agilent and wafer test equipment.

....Dave

On 6/29/22 7:43 AM, kf7rcm@... via groups.io wrote:

There are three huge "chip" plants being built in the Phoenix area. Hopefully they will be online before too long.


kf7rcm@yahoo.com
 

Sorry, I do not. I should since two of them are about 12 miles down the road. If you google search "semiconductor plant construction in Peoria, AZ" I imagine you will find it. The third one is in Mesa, at least that was what I was told,
W.


James Daldry W4JED
 

Hope they can make water out of air. The Colorado River is almost dry.

Jim W4JED

On 6/29/22 07:43, kf7rcm@... via groups.io wrote:

There are three huge "chip" plants being built in the Phoenix area. Hopefully they will be online before too long.


Andy
 

If you wonder 'Why" the supply chain in semiconductor chips is a continuing problem look no further than the US Congress. Failure to implement 'The Chips Act' will slow or cripple US chip manufacturing for a decade! 
​Why is there limited production in the USA? Is it because US semiconductor companies maximised profit by off shoring their production to places where labour was cheap and environmental concerns were less so profits were bigger starting 30 years back?

Now US semis don't want build or invest in returning production to US facilities unless the US taxpayer subsidises them.

American business practice.... milking tax payers since 1776.

🙂

The problems have been building for a long time, it's not a recent problem. Old soaks will remember these shortage/glut cycles from previous years.



Andy

(I work for a US semiconductor company)
_._,_._,_


Jim Manley
 

TSMC is completing the first building on its new 1,012-acre complex this July, which is located on the North side of Phoenix at the edge of the Sonoran Desert.

Intel’s two newest fabrication facilities are being built in Chandler, on the Southeast side of Phoenix, costing $10,000,000,000 each.  They’ll be coming on line in 2024.

There’s also the $20,000,000,000, 926-acre complex, including two fabrication facilities, that Intel is starting to build in Licking County, Ohio, just East of Columbus.  However, that’s several years away from initial operational capability (IOC), featuring as small as a 14 - 16 nanometer pitch capability, AIUI.

These complexes will continue to expand in phases beyond IOC up to full operational capability (FOC) over the coming decade, potentially heading toward a 5 - 7 nanometer pitch.  

Typical high-density semiconductor devices today are fabricated at a 20 - 40 nanometer pitch.  The first production integrated circuits were fabricated at a pitch of 10,000 nanometers (10 micrometers, or microns).



Jim  KJ7JHE


On Wed, Jun 29, 2022 at 5:52 AM kf7rcm@... via groups.io <kf7rcm=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:
Sorry, I do not. I should since two of them are about 12 miles down the road. If you google search "semiconductor plant construction in Peoria, AZ" I imagine you will find it. The third one is in Mesa, at least that was what I was told,
W.


Albert Tatlock's Greatest Hits - Vol 1
 

On Wed, Jun 29, 2022 at 03:31 PM, Andy wrote:
​Why is there limited production in the USA? Is it because US semiconductor companies maximised profit by off shoring their production to places where labour was cheap and environmental concerns were less so profits were bigger starting 30 years back?
Yeah, those big corps could dump  the local slaves and have Chinese ones instead.
The western slaves were now freed, (to wallow in their unemployment).
But they gained new  rights to flip burgers at Muck Donalds in return ;-)


Lou Burgess
 

A l Google:

Intel to build two new chip factories, called fabs, in Chandler, Arizona.

 

 Apple partner Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. on Tuesday said construction of a new $12 billion chip plant has begun in Phoenix, Ariz., with the facility expected to produce wafers built on the company's 5-nanometer process.


Steven Dick, K1RF
 

Andy, some of that may be true but the main reason is that most U.S. corporations are unwilling to spend the huge investment and many years to get a fab on-line. They put most of their attention to quarter over quarter profits and limited attention to long term and multi-year strategies. The fabs are highly automated and require a relatively small workforce. The few U.S. companies that have state of the art fabs are for their own IR and D and proprietary low volume high cost chips.  Many U.S. design firms are of the "fabless chip" model and get their designs mostly in foreign fab houses.  Final packaging of the die into packages is oftwn in the U.S. because that is a low tech, highly automated process.  Having said that, the chips act is a critical U.S. security issue and should be passed and funded. It's not right for corporations to beg for money but if that's the only way to get it done, at least it will get done.

https://fortune.com/2022/06/28/globalwafers-intel-tsmc-congress-semiconductor-plants-chips-act-funding/

-Steve K1RF

------ Original Message ------
From: "Andy" <mm0fmf@...>
Sent: 6/29/2022 10:31:20 AM
Subject: Re: [QRPLabs] The Chips Act

If you wonder 'Why" the supply chain in semiconductor chips is a continuing problem look no further than the US Congress. Failure to implement 'The Chips Act' will slow or cripple US chip manufacturing for a decade! 
​Why is there limited production in the USA? Is it because US semiconductor companies maximised profit by off shoring their production to places where labour was cheap and environmental concerns were less so profits were bigger starting 30 years back?

Now US semis don't want build or invest in returning production to US facilities unless the US taxpayer subsidises them.

American business practice.... milking tax payers since 1776.

🙂

The problems have been building for a long time, it's not a recent problem. Old soaks will remember these shortage/glut cycles from previous years.



Andy

(I work for a US semiconductor company)


Virus-free. www.avast.com


Curt wb8yyy
 

I also see active discussion to build a massive fab in NC. Remember we are a global list here, so best not to focus on only US or particular nation interests here. 

Curt


George Korper
 

The Global nature of the Semiconductor business is for for sure, and the bill is required to assist  companies to build their plants in US. The subsidies are a competitive lure. I don't get into politics but if democracies are to compete they need to be quick on their feet. 


Mark KB0US
 

Once upon a time in the 1980s when chips were made out of stone (a little silicon humor), the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) cared about one thing -- CPU speed. That was where the intellectual property was and where there was an advantage in war fighting and space (aka Star Wars). Memory was less important (except from a radiation hardening perspective) and support chips weren't very important at all. Standard ICs were only important to the extent you could get them in Mil Std packaging. And so, there was a lot of money available for CPU fabs in the U.S. along with needing to keep the IP in the U.S.

And then along came ASICs (Application Specific ICs) pioneered by TSMC in Taiwan under a model where you would design them at a "design center" near you and then TSMC would make the chip at their "foundry" (i.e., fab). ASICs allowed faster time to market compared to a full custom IC design, reduced size since something made from standard parts could be put in a single part, reasonable speed, and reasonable cost. None of this was the least bit interesting to the DoD. ASIC design is basically tying together standard "blocks" (such as an NAND gate or D-flip flop) without having to worry about how this winds up being implemented in silicon. Over time, these "blocks" have become quite complex and more general purpose.

As time moved along, as it usually does, TSMC (and others) offered more services and built more complex fabs. DoD spending ebbed and flowed and chips became fast enough that they began to move to COTS (commercial off the shelf) instead of building custom things where there were already commercial products available. Having fabs offshore had a lot of benefits since environmental requirements weren't as strict, labor was cheaper, and there were a lot of talented engineers available for low cost. And as these fabs became obsolete, you could build a new one somewhere else with the most favorable economics. 

And then there's the Internet where it makes no difference whether your foundry is in the next building or in Asia. Files are moved instantly and having a team spread across continents became normal instead of "are you absolutely insane!"

So here we are with a system that optimized economics (as capitalism tends to do) but with weaknesses that are only exposed during some sort of global upheaval. This has always been the case but it would have normally involved raw materials such as iron, water, gold, and other commodities. Now it's access to technology.

I don't have a strong opinion about the Chips Act other than to say we've essentially been down this road once before with the early DoD CPU spending. Just as before, we're just as much at risk of the newest technologies going off shore because of the economics. And there will be unintended consequences as well that we can't predict.

By the way, semiconductors aren't the only thing to worry about. Electric Vehicles all depend on batteries from China (and Taiwan) as do all of our laptops and cell phones. A huge number of drugs are manufactured in China and a disruption in their production won't be easily remedied either.


Fred Spinner
 

Many ASIC designs could also be done as a FPGA first, further speeding up design and verification.   The prototype could be a power hungry but otherwise exact logical equivalent to the final ASIC product. 

Fred W0FMS 

On Wed, Jun 29, 2022, 11:39 AM Mark KB0US via groups.io <spudhorse=yahoo.com@groups.io> wrote:
Once upon a time in the 1980s when chips were made out of stone (a little silicon humor), the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) cared about one thing -- CPU speed. That was where the intellectual property was and where there was an advantage in war fighting and space (aka Star Wars). Memory was less important (except from a radiation hardening perspective) and support chips weren't very important at all. Standard ICs were only important to the extent you could get them in Mil Std packaging. And so, there was a lot of money available for CPU fabs in the U.S. along with needing to keep the IP in the U.S.

And then along came ASICs (Application Specific ICs) pioneered by TSMC in Taiwan under a model where you would design them at a "design center" near you and then TSMC would make the chip at their "foundry" (i.e., fab). ASICs allowed faster time to market compared to a full custom IC design, reduced size since something made from standard parts could be put in a single part, reasonable speed, and reasonable cost. None of this was the least bit interesting to the DoD. ASIC design is basically tying together standard "blocks" (such as an NAND gate or D-flip flop) without having to worry about how this winds up being implemented in silicon. Over time, these "blocks" have become quite complex and more general purpose.

As time moved along, as it usually does, TSMC (and others) offered more services and built more complex fabs. DoD spending ebbed and flowed and chips became fast enough that they began to move to COTS (commercial off the shelf) instead of building custom things where there were already commercial products available. Having fabs offshore had a lot of benefits since environmental requirements weren't as strict, labor was cheaper, and there were a lot of talented engineers available for low cost. And as these fabs became obsolete, you could build a new one somewhere else with the most favorable economics. 

And then there's the Internet where it makes no difference whether your foundry is in the next building or in Asia. Files are moved instantly and having a team spread across continents became normal instead of "are you absolutely insane!"

So here we are with a system that optimized economics (as capitalism tends to do) but with weaknesses that are only exposed during some sort of global upheaval. This has always been the case but it would have normally involved raw materials such as iron, water, gold, and other commodities. Now it's access to technology.

I don't have a strong opinion about the Chips Act other than to say we've essentially been down this road once before with the early DoD CPU spending. Just as before, we're just as much at risk of the newest technologies going off shore because of the economics. And there will be unintended consequences as well that we can't predict.

By the way, semiconductors aren't the only thing to worry about. Electric Vehicles all depend on batteries from China (and Taiwan) as do all of our laptops and cell phones. A huge number of drugs are manufactured in China and a disruption in their production won't be easily remedied either.


Jim Manley
 

Hi Jim,

The more recent fabs are pretty much closed-loop using recycled water.  If you want to see real wastes of water in the Southwest, take a look at fountains that shoot water two football field lengths into the air, which evaporates before it comes back down to ground level.  The plethora of golf courses and other multitudes of places where water-hungry plants, that are wholly inappropriate to grow in a desert climate, are other major vectors of wasted water.

Then, there’s the clover grown on Saudi-owned land in Arizona in proximity to the Colorado River which, after harvesting, is flown on 747 cargo aircraft directly to Saudi Arabia … to feed their prize Arabian horses.  The Colorado River has been drying up, long before it crosses the border into Mexico, for years before integrated circuits were invented.

Senator Barry Goldwater said that if he had known how much of the water diverted from the Colorado River to the cities was going to be wasted, he never would have championed and voted for it.


Another Jim  KJ7JHE


On Wed, Jun 29, 2022 at 8:24 AM James Daldry W4JED <jim@...> wrote:

Hope they can make water out of air. The Colorado River is almost dry.

Jim W4JED

On 6/29/22 07:43, kf7rcm@... via groups.io wrote:
There are three huge "chip" plants being built in the Phoenix area. Hopefully they will be online before too long.


Jim Strohm
 

Something to remember about Taiwan being a global giant in semico mfg:  If (read WHEN) Red China invades Taiwan, one of two things will occur.  Either the Red Chinese will suddenly own practically every fab on Earth, or Taiwan will become a smoking ruin like Ukraine.  In either case, we'll need to duplicate the Taiwanese semico infrastructure here just to get op amps and 555 timer chips.

My living and working in high tech in Austin TX for most of my life has let me see how even minor events can massively affect fabless semiconductor companies.  Remember the Iceland volcano that shut down air travel in Europe for a week?  Remember the loss of Malaysia flight 370?  Remember the Fukushima tsunami?  Remember the Philippine typhoon that left six feet of standing water in every street of the country?  By themselves, each event was relatively isolated, but each left the semico supply chain reeling for months, if not years.

There are good reasons why Samsung put one of its biggest fabs near Austin, and is currently expanding to double its capacity.  There's effective transportation (air, rail, and highways) nearby; the weather isn't subject to whims and vagaries like hurricanes every year (occasional tornadoes not included); no foreign despots are hanging around to invade us (we home-grow our own here, thank you);  our limestone karst geology means we have earthquakes only once every million years; no active volcanoes nearby since 5 million years ago; an ample population of cheap, well-educated workers in the area -- and probably a few more strategic reasons I can't remember right now.

And the remark about pointy-headed bosses focusing on quarterly profit growth at the expense of all else was exactly correct.  Ever wonder what happened to Motorola? (think: spin off the most profitable bread-and-butter sectors to raise quarterly executive bonuses)  Ever wonder why nobody buys IBM nowadays except for hide-bound curmudgeonly Luddites?  (think: offshore customer support because 10 non-English speaking support techs getting paid USD$4 an hour are 10 times more productive than one support tech making USD$40 an hour).  

I'll stop now.  We know that here in the US, we're following the Russian corporate oligarchy model down the toilet, and only massive government payoffs can motivate our corporate status quo to do the right thing -- which is to JUST MAKE STUFF.  Hans, sitting in his home in Turkey, has the right idea and company model.  3M, who gave us sandpaper, PostIt notes, and scotch tape, has the right idea -- invent something, make a little, sell a little, invent something else brilliant and world-changing.   Michael Dell, who invented white-box computer manufacturing in his college dorm, had the right idea at first.  Too bad he dropped out of college before he got his degree.

Me?  The only really smart idea I ever had was to start adopting rescue bunnies.  

73
Jim N6OTQ

On Wed, Jun 29, 2022 at 1:12 PM George Korper <georgekorper@...> wrote:
The Global nature of the Semiconductor business is for for sure, and the bill is required to assist  companies to build their plants in US. The subsidies are a competitive lure. I don't get into politics but if democracies are to compete they need to be quick on their feet. 


kf7rcm@yahoo.com
 

Many of my friends are on well systems which are sucking mud most of the time. I don't understand what they were thinking when deciding to build them here. Chip factories use so much of it, one has to wonder why they didn't build them along the Mississippi or next to one of the great lakes. The ones here in AZ are built (coincidentally?) next to major canals.


Roy Appleton
 

Jim, I don't know why but your post was very enjoyable maybe because of the simple truth of it. In any case, it made me smile!

Thank you,
Roy from Dallas 
WA0YMH 

On Wed, Jun 29, 2022, 4:08 PM Jim Strohm <jim.strohm@...> wrote:
Something to remember about Taiwan being a global giant in semico mfg:  If (read WHEN) Red China invades Taiwan, one of two things will occur.  Either the Red Chinese will suddenly own practically every fab on Earth, or Taiwan will become a smoking ruin like Ukraine.  In either case, we'll need to duplicate the Taiwanese semico infrastructure here just to get op amps and 555 timer chips.

My living and working in high tech in Austin TX for most of my life has let me see how even minor events can massively affect fabless semiconductor companies.  Remember the Iceland volcano that shut down air travel in Europe for a week?  Remember the loss of Malaysia flight 370?  Remember the Fukushima tsunami?  Remember the Philippine typhoon that left six feet of standing water in every street of the country?  By themselves, each event was relatively isolated, but each left the semico supply chain reeling for months, if not years.

There are good reasons why Samsung put one of its biggest fabs near Austin, and is currently expanding to double its capacity.  There's effective transportation (air, rail, and highways) nearby; the weather isn't subject to whims and vagaries like hurricanes every year (occasional tornadoes not included); no foreign despots are hanging around to invade us (we home-grow our own here, thank you);  our limestone karst geology means we have earthquakes only once every million years; no active volcanoes nearby since 5 million years ago; an ample population of cheap, well-educated workers in the area -- and probably a few more strategic reasons I can't remember right now.

And the remark about pointy-headed bosses focusing on quarterly profit growth at the expense of all else was exactly correct.  Ever wonder what happened to Motorola? (think: spin off the most profitable bread-and-butter sectors to raise quarterly executive bonuses)  Ever wonder why nobody buys IBM nowadays except for hide-bound curmudgeonly Luddites?  (think: offshore customer support because 10 non-English speaking support techs getting paid USD$4 an hour are 10 times more productive than one support tech making USD$40 an hour).  

I'll stop now.  We know that here in the US, we're following the Russian corporate oligarchy model down the toilet, and only massive government payoffs can motivate our corporate status quo to do the right thing -- which is to JUST MAKE STUFF.  Hans, sitting in his home in Turkey, has the right idea and company model.  3M, who gave us sandpaper, PostIt notes, and scotch tape, has the right idea -- invent something, make a little, sell a little, invent something else brilliant and world-changing.   Michael Dell, who invented white-box computer manufacturing in his college dorm, had the right idea at first.  Too bad he dropped out of college before he got his degree.

Me?  The only really smart idea I ever had was to start adopting rescue bunnies.  

73
Jim N6OTQ

On Wed, Jun 29, 2022 at 1:12 PM George Korper <georgekorper@...> wrote:
The Global nature of the Semiconductor business is for for sure, and the bill is required to assist  companies to build their plants in US. The subsidies are a competitive lure. I don't get into politics but if democracies are to compete they need to be quick on their feet. 


 

On Wed, Jun 29, 2022 at 03:52 PM, Albert Tatlock's Greatest Hits - Vol 1 wrote:
Yeah, those big corps could dump  the local slaves and have Chinese ones instead.
The western slaves were now freed, (to wallow in their unemployment).
But they gained new  rights to flip burgers at Muck Donalds in return ;-)
Our new lives are great.
We are no longer slaves, and relish the fact that we're all data now ;-)

- Andy - (another one)


Paul WB6CXC (tech-blog: wb6cxc.com)
 

Many ASIC designs could also be done as a FPGA first, further speeding up design and verification.   The prototype could be a power hungry but otherwise exact logical equivalent to the final ASIC product. 
And they often are, especially now that FPGAs are do incredibly dense and fast.
But where do you think FPGAs are fabricated?  Hint: TSMC builds many of the high-end ones.
--
Paul Elliott - WB6CXC